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Predicting Upsets in the Wild-Card Round | NASCAR Playoff Predictions

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The Round of 12 kicks off this weekend at Texas. Will any favorites fall short?

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37 comments

Isaac September 22, 2023 at 8:05 pm

Bold prediction: MTJ is going to be the first regular season champion to be bounced out of the Round of 12

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RBMapleLeaf September 23, 2023 at 3:45 am

​@Dieter LangeIt can happen but we’ll see. This is the wildcard round after all. I’m probably going to expect a complete wipeout of the field at one of these tracks (I’m looking at you Talladega)

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Christopher September 22, 2023 at 8:05 pm

Hi Eric just wanted to say that im a massive nascar fan. Im from london uk but i still watch the highlights of every race and know loads of things about it. i love kyle busch and keep up the good content!

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NeblolTheCarNerd September 22, 2023 at 9:49 pm

A fellow uk fan! Nice to see some representation

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Jeff Gattis September 23, 2023 at 4:31 am

Brother you may be glad you’re not here. It is HOT. THE Harvick goodbye at the Speedway Club was good after starting slow

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Run Rafa Run #THEBESTINTHEWORLD September 23, 2023 at 8:10 am

@Jeff Gattis the US may be hot but Europe gets its fair share of heat waves especially now with an ever changing climate.

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Christopher September 23, 2023 at 8:33 am

@Run Rafa Run #THEBESTINTHEWORLD That is true its pretty hot in Europe but not in the Uk!

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Pimp Daddy V's Garage September 22, 2023 at 8:18 pm

If kyle larson doesn’t have a electrical issue at Charlotte like the last 2 years he will probably advance.

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mityace September 22, 2023 at 8:26 pm

I think it may be impossible to predict. The points are close enough this year that no one is safe. And, Truex proved that even the top is vulnerable in the last round.

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DEI FAN September 23, 2023 at 2:19 am

NGL as a Byron Fan I am Worried since he has been inconsistent. and He may be a Round of 12 Exit

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Run Rafa Run #THEBESTINTHEWORLD September 23, 2023 at 8:06 am

It’s been this way since 2020.

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P September 22, 2023 at 8:30 pm

I’d say it’s too hard to pick in this round before it starts. I don’t expect Wallace to move on. Everyone else it’s completely up to who has bad luck/attrition/DNFs

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Danny Alex September 22, 2023 at 8:30 pm

Eric: picks Kyle Busch to be eliminated in this round
Kyle Busch wins at Texas…
Eric: Shoot

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Police Cam reactions September 22, 2023 at 9:01 pm

Kyle Busch is going all the way this year and don’t be surprised if he wins another championship

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Aaron Winterfield September 22, 2023 at 9:04 pm

@Police Cam reactionsIt is his championship year. Every 4 years. 2015, 2019, 2023?

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Eric Estepp September 22, 2023 at 9:14 pm

I embrace the madness

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Danny Alex September 22, 2023 at 10:23 pm

@Eric Estepp lol

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Johnny Sechrist September 22, 2023 at 8:40 pm

Eric with your knowledge and voice you should be in the booth announcing races on TV. I’ve followed Nascar since the 50’s

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feeb September 22, 2023 at 8:45 pm

gotta give a shoutout to Eric’s channel sponsors. Never thought I’d be praising ads but the brands he promotes are all super interesting and what I’ve tried has been great. Cool to see

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Christopher Lozada September 22, 2023 at 8:46 pm

Im feel for ya Eric cuz trying to predict this round is beyond difficult. Especially When you have talladega and the next gen car where the grid is closer

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Alex Payson September 22, 2023 at 8:59 pm

Yes brisco advanced to round of 8 last year but I think I remember Custer was holding up traffic for him to gain a couple points and got penalized for it

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gatling216 September 22, 2023 at 9:10 pm

Those picks largely mirror my own. I will say, though, I’m not prepared to rule out Chastain or Bubba pulling off the upset. I don’t think Keslowski is worried about himself as much as his teammate, and Busch just hasn’t shown up lately, so they’re easy picks. But, Bubba usually runs well at Talladega if he can stay out of trouble, and Chastain has shown that he can do a lot with a little. I could also see Truex crashing and burning if he gets caught up in his own head. So, we’ll see.

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ICECAR September 22, 2023 at 9:31 pm

you know this round is interesting. I think this is a round where we could see 3 non-playoff drivers win all 3 in this round. Who of the non-playoff drivers do you see having the best shot at upsetting and getting a win?

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Alex Schiel September 22, 2023 at 9:32 pm

Kyle has done well at tracks that Tyler Reddick won/did well at last year in the 8 car. I expect Texas might be a good race for them if they can get the setup correct right off the truck.

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George Killer September 22, 2023 at 9:35 pm

Talladega is a huge wild card. Bubba could very well win that race & become the first 16th seed to advance to the round of 8.

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Dr Dogbarker September 23, 2023 at 2:46 am

Why? Is it going to rain?

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Run Rafa Run #THEBESTINTHEWORLD September 23, 2023 at 8:15 am

@Dr Dogbarker nope

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MLGProSwag69 September 22, 2023 at 9:55 pm

IMO it’s the 6/8/12/23 that go out this round. The 1/5/11/19/20/24/45 are the 7 on pace to get 200 stage points this year which is a historical requirement to make the Final 4, and of the other 5 Buescher has the most playoff points.

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Adam Akroyd September 22, 2023 at 10:56 pm

Dale Jr was the only commentator to pick Ryan Blaney to go to the Championship 4 and honestly he could win the next week’s and put himself in a good spot to advance. He is a sleeper pick to go to the final 4 but I agree it could happen

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Jake September 22, 2023 at 11:10 pm

Blaney should make it now that he’s got the entire Penske organization behind him

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Caleb Turnbow September 23, 2023 at 12:32 am

4:02 I don’t know that MTJ can have a solid weekend this weekend. Or the next few weeks honestly. With Sherry passing away and all the social media noise that has come with it, I just hope he’s ok. I would imagine he’s got to be off emotionally right now.

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AceDelta12 September 23, 2023 at 4:19 am

Imagine if Truex wins the title

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Run Rafa Run #THEBESTINTHEWORLD September 23, 2023 at 8:13 am

Texas is a good track for him though. Just hasn’t been able to breakthrough an win. Talladega is probably his worst and the Roval he’s done well there before.

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Caleb Turnbow September 23, 2023 at 9:11 am

@AceDelta12 it’d be a story for sure!

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Run Rafa Run #THEBESTINTHEWORLD September 23, 2023 at 1:51 pm

@Coyotes79 what does Danica know about love though? She can’t even hold down a relationship.

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Nahshon Hollis September 23, 2023 at 2:05 am

Bubba’s point deficit isn’t really big. He has shown he can overperform to eliminate deficits. His pit crew is his biggest hurdle. His biggest threats are really only the top 7, his pit crew, and a Dega wreck. I definitely wouldn’t count Bell out. I will not be shocked if he starts doing better than the last playoffs. He just needs more patience in races. He drives like he’s dirt racing sometimes too much.

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brand September 23, 2023 at 2:48 am

Being the wild card round and this being one of the most evenly matched playoff fields in history, this is absolutely unpredictable

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